i write because the the alternative forms of my obsessive insanity are either too destructive or decidedly less sexy.
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Why the less you know, the more confident you are—and why real expertise feels like doubt You watch a few YouTube videos on investing. Now you see the market clearly. These patterns are obvious. Why doesn’t everyone just do this? You’re ready to trade. Six months later,
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Why you judge others by their actions but yourself by your intentions—and why this destroys relationships Someone cuts you off in traffic. Asshole. You cut someone off in traffic. Sorry, I was late for an emergency, didn’t see them, had to make that exit. Same behavior. Different explanations.
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Why you’re convinced everyone saw you trip—and why they definitely didn’t You spill coffee on your shirt before a meeting. The stain is there, right on the front, visible to anyone who looks. You walk into the room and feel every eye on you. Or rather, on
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Why one positive trait colors everything—and why first impressions are even more dangerous than you think A defendant walks into a courtroom. She’s attractive—symmetrical features, well-dressed, put together. Studies show she’ll get a lighter sentence. Not because judges are consciously biased toward pretty people. But because
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Why “90% fat-free” sells better than “10% fat”—and how presentation hijacks your choices Two packages of ground beef sit on the shelf. One says “90% lean.” One says “10% fat.” Same beef. Same nutritional content. Same product. But people reach for the 90% lean. They rate it as higher
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Why you stay in bad jobs, hold losing stocks, and keep reading books you hate—and how to stop The movie is terrible. You knew it thirty minutes in. The plot is predictable, the dialogue is wooden, and you’re bored. But you’ve already watched an hour. You paid
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Why the pain of losing $100 outweighs the pleasure of finding $100—and why this “bias” might actually be correct Here’s a bet: flip a coin. Heads, you win $100. Tails, you lose $100. Mathematically, this is a fair bet. Expected value of zero. A perfectly rational agent should
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Why the opening bid hijacks everything that follows—and why arbitrary numbers have real power You’re negotiating a salary. The recruiter asks what you’re looking for. You hesitate, then say $80,000. Now everything that follows is a negotiation around $80,000. Eighty becomes the center of gravity.
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Why you only hear from the winners—and why “college dropouts become billionaires” is a trap Bill Gates dropped out of Harvard. Steve Jobs dropped out of Reed. Mark Zuckerberg dropped out of Harvard. The pattern is obvious: drop out of college, become a billionaire. Except that’s insane. For
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Why plane crashes feel more dangerous than car accidents—and why your fear is a function of what you recently saw You’re afraid of the wrong things. Not because you’re stupid. Because you’re informed. Informed by a news environment that has no interest in calibrating your risk
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Why your brain sees patterns in randomness—and when that instinct will ruin you You’re at the roulette table. Not a casino person, maybe, but stay with me. Black has come up seven times in a row. You watch the wheel spin, the ball bounce, and something in your
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A 12-part series on the mental shortcuts that mostly work—and the specific situations where they’ll ruin you You’re not as rational as you think. But you’re not as irrational as the pop psychology books want you to believe, either. The truth is weirder, and more interesting: